Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 2.746351 3.047446 3.372552 3.750437 4.178545 4.649587 5.208586
2025-03-23 2.369263 2.787939 3.271983 3.876061 4.614020 5.491624 6.622367
2025-03-30 2.067763 2.538702 3.111014 3.863985 4.837816 6.067424 7.757635
2025-04-06 1.842322 2.339291 2.967746 3.830653 5.000082 6.552131 8.805708
2025-04-13 1.605898 2.093939 2.730890 3.635943 4.909905 6.671344 9.348392
2025-04-20 1.484988 1.985066 2.657420 3.644409 5.085250 7.158194 10.453286
2025-04-27 1.404789 1.921618 2.635972 3.717165 5.350940 7.792598 11.846326
2025-05-04 1.334769 1.864614 2.615743 3.785158 5.609997 8.436615 13.327981
2025-05-11 1.265656 1.802086 2.580290 3.823654 5.822473 9.023815 14.784617
2025-05-18 1.201729 1.741418 2.541245 3.850405 6.014656 9.592524 16.276722
2025-05-25 1.112232 1.635387 2.424594 3.742746 5.973773 9.762559 17.071826
2025-06-01 1.045194 1.558935 2.347587 3.691407 6.019798 10.081950 18.177317
2025-06-08 0.982842 1.487025 2.274672 3.644102 6.073943 10.431460 19.411276
2025-06-15 0.962549 1.480468 2.306088 3.775546 6.456383 11.422682 22.073622
2025-06-22 0.916229 1.428460 2.258776 3.765665 6.579568 11.937254 23.825330
2025-06-29 0.869873 1.373285 2.202043 3.733651 6.656817 12.368399 25.459179
2025-07-06 0.799838 1.274394 2.064605 3.544704 6.415751 12.135041 25.567518
2025-07-13 0.768792 1.239712 2.035640 3.552934 6.559762 12.705193 27.617542
2025-07-20 0.750026 1.224843 2.040092 3.623566 6.834076 13.579435 30.538336
2025-07-27 0.731651 1.209434 2.042307 3.689567 7.104538 14.476312 33.672328
2025-08-03 0.710172 1.187203 2.030550 3.726933 7.317902 15.270310 36.683157
2025-08-10 0.688429 1.163208 2.013894 3.752897 7.508688 16.034435 39.753865
2025-08-17 0.650586 1.107999 1.935762 3.648399 7.403241 16.087134 40.853513